JURNAL PREDIKSI TINGKAT KELULUSAN PESERTA DIDIK SMK FATHUL ULUM GABUS DENGAN METODE NAIVE BAYES

Abstract

The graduation of students refers to those who are able to complete and meet the graduation requirements set through a graduation meeting based on the decision letter signed by the school principal. Graduation rate data can be used to help make policies and strategies for the school to improve graduation rates in the following year. This study utilizes classification or prediction methods to analyze the graduation rates of students at SMK Fathul Ulum Gabus. The method used in this study is Naive Bayes, using variables such as practical exam scores, school exam scores, competency test scores, student attendance, and student behavior. The purpose of this study is to test the accuracy of the Naive Bayes method in predicting graduation rates based on data collected from 2019 to 2024. The research process includes data collection, data integration, and model training using Naive Bayes, which produces fairly accurate predictions with an accuracy of 94.64%. Based on this accuracy, it can be concluded that the Naive Bayes method can be used to predict graduation rates at SMK Fathul Ulum Gabus.